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Rice Price Trend Analysis 2026
Latest FOB prices, half-yearly market summaries and analyst outlook for rice, with the coverage you get for every product on the Pricing Dashboard.
FOB price, August 2026USD/MT
- Vietnam393.57▼ -0.6% vs Jul
- China423.49Flat vs Jul
- India398.76▼ -3.0% vs Jul
- Brazil287.79▲ +14.6% vs Jul
- USA242.99▼ -0.9% vs Jul
Latest development
US rice prices rally on sharp acreage drop
US rice futures rose sharply as 2026 planted long-grain acreage fell, with Arkansas planting at its lowest level in nearly 50 years. Tighter domestic supply expectations are supporting prices despite generally good crop conditions.
Rice price table
FOB prices by region, July and August 2026, in USD per tonne.
| Region | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vietnam | 396.10 | 393.57 | ▼ -0.6% |
| China | 423.40 | 423.49 | Flat |
| India | 411.30 | 398.76 | ▼ -3.0% |
| Brazil | 251.20 | 287.79 | ▲ +14.6% |
| USA | 245.13 | 242.99 | ▼ -0.9% |
H1 2026 market summary
How rice prices moved across regions in the first half of 2026.
- Global rice prices were mixed. India’s ample supply capped gains, while Thailand, Vietnam and Pakistan saw firmer export quotes.
- Upstream costs rose on fertiliser, fuel, freight and insurance, following the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz disruption.
- Downstream demand stayed firm, led by food security buying, public distribution needs and import demand across Asia, Europe and North America.
- India kept export prices relatively stable. Thailand, Vietnam and Pakistan saw firmer pricing on tighter supply and steady demand.
- India’s 2025/26 production is estimated at 154.0M MT.
USDA 2026/27 export projections
- India25.0M MT
- Vietnam8.0M MT
- Thailand7.5M MT
- Pakistan5.0M MT
Projected 2026/27 imports
- Philippines5.6M MT
- Vietnam4.0M MT
- China3.3M MT
- Prices were driven by import dependence, freight and supplier availability.
- USDA projects 2026/27 EU imports at 2.35M MT and exports at 410,000 MT.
- Higher freight and insurance costs raised landed costs, especially for Asian-origin rice. Demand stayed stable in retail and foodservice.
- US export competitiveness declined and supply constraints emerged.
- USDA cut its 2025/26 US long-grain export forecast to 50.0M cwt, citing weak international demand.
- Mexico’s rice imports fell about 20.0% in the first seven months of its 2025/26 marketing year, as Brazil and Uruguay gained share from the US.
- Reduced long-grain acreage and higher input costs supported forward prices.
Near term, rice prices may remain mixed. India’s ample supply can cap gains, while fertiliser and freight costs and tighter US and Thai acreage may limit the downside.
H2 2025 market summary
The second half of 2025, region by region.
Asia
Prices generally softened as supply improved after India lifted export restrictions and new harvests arrived. India stayed competitive while Thailand and Vietnam faced pressure. Pakistan’s basmati prices firmed late in the year on flood damage and water concerns.
Europe
Prices stayed relatively stable, supported by adequate Asian imports and easing global export prices.
North America
Prices remained broadly stable, with comfortable domestic supply and steady export demand. Competition from lower-priced Asian origins limited US export gains.
About rice
Product details and coverage for this price page.
Rice is the seed of Oryza sativa (Asian rice) or Oryza glaberrima (African rice). It needs high rainfall and plenty of water, and cultivation is labour-intensive. It is the third most produced agricultural commodity in the world, after sugarcane and maize.
- HS code
- 100630
- Synonym
- Paddy (unmilled rice)
- Industrial uses
- Food and beverages, brewing, manufacturing of starch
- Key suppliers
- DuPont de Nemours, Cargill, Wilmar International, Doguet’s Rice Milling Company, Randall Organic Rice
- Currency
- US$ (local currency available)
- Supplier database
- Available
- Customisation
- Available to your requirements
- Post-sale support
- 360-degree analyst support
Regions covered
Asia Pacific26 countries
China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Iran, Thailand, South Korea, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, UAE, Israel, Hong Kong, Singapore, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Australia, New Zealand
Europe21 countries
Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal, Greece
North America2 countries
United States, Canada
Latin America7 countries
Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Ecuador, Peru
Africa5 countries
South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco
Production process
From seed to market, rice typically takes about 105 to 150 days to mature, depending on variety.
- 01Seed selection
- 02Land preparation
- 03Crop establishment
- 04Water management
- 05Nutrient and crop health management
- 06Harvesting
- 07Post-harvest
Related news
Recent rice market headlines from Procurement Resource.
- Rice newsIndian Rice Export Prices Hold at One Year High Through First Week of OctoberRead on Procurement Resource
- Rice newsRice Supply Planning Changes as Punjab Eases Milling RulesRead on Procurement Resource
- Rice newsRice Demand Could Rise as Ethanol Producers Seek More FeedstockRead on Procurement Resource
Data and analysis on this sample page are from the Procurement Resource rice price trend page. See how prices are assessed in our price analysis methodology.
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